Napoli (K) 2-0 Roma (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Women's Cup, 16 Jan 2024

📅16/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.57
Draw
19%
3.64
Away
52%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
No
44%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
38%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
11%
X/X
4%
2/1
3%
2/2
37%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
35%
-6.6pp
19%
Draw
24%
-4.5pp
52%
Away Win
41%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napoli (K) EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Roma (K) EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
384 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napoli (K)
2-0
AWAY Roma (K)
28% Ball Possession 72%
6 Total Shots 26
5 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 15
POST-MATCH Napoli (K) vs Roma (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Napoli (K) got the better of Roma (K) 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Roma (K) at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Napoli (K) had 28% of the ball to Roma (K)'s 72%, shots finished 6-26.

What was the final score of Napoli (K) vs Roma (K)?

Napoli (K) 2-0 Roma (K) in the Italy - Women's Cup on 16/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napoli (K) vs Roma (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Roma (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Napoli (K) 29%, draw 19%, Roma (K) 52%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Roma (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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