ASM Oran 4-2 JSM Tiaret — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 2nd Division, 16 Jan 2024

📅16/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.28
Draw
25%
5.28
Away
19%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
14%
X/1
26%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
3%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
74%
-17.4pp
25%
Draw
16%
+8.7pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ASM Oran EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY JSM Tiaret EU Bookmakers 14%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.62/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.67
-19% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
456 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ASM Oran
1W-1D-0L
AWAY JSM Tiaret
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
31.12.2021 JSM Tiaret JSM Tiaret 0-1 ASM Oran ASM Oran CZYR2
24.04.2021 ASM Oran ASM Oran 1-1 HT 1-0 JSM Tiaret JSM Tiaret CZYR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ASM Oran
4-2
AWAY JSM Tiaret
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 3
POST-MATCH ASM Oran vs JSM Tiaret
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ASM Oran got the better of JSM Tiaret 4-2. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had ASM Oran as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, ASM Oran had 45% of the ball to JSM Tiaret's 55%, shots finished 10-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, ASM Oran had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for ASM Oran and 0.50 for JSM Tiaret.

What was the final score of ASM Oran vs JSM Tiaret?

ASM Oran 4-2 JSM Tiaret in the Algeria - 2nd Division on 16/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ASM Oran vs JSM Tiaret?

Before kick-off our model rated a ASM Oran win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split ASM Oran 56%, draw 25%, JSM Tiaret 19%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ASM Oran), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ASM Oran) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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