Chornomorets Odessa 1-3 Ujpest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 16 Jan 2024

Chornomorets Odessa
1-3
Ujpest
📅16/01/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2023/2024

Chornomorets Odessa vs Ujpest Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.22
Draw
23%
6.26
Away
22%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
78%
-22.6pp
23%
Draw
13%
+9.6pp
22%
Away Win
9%
+13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chornomorets Odessa v Ujpest — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chornomorets Odessa EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Ujpest EU Bookmakers 12%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +52% / +52%
2.80/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.41
+6% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +150%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
525 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Chornomorets Odessa vs Ujpest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ujpest got the better of Chornomorets Odessa 3-1 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Chornomorets Odessa carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Chornomorets Odessa vs Ujpest?

Chornomorets Odessa 1-3 Ujpest in the Friendlies on 16/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chornomorets Odessa vs Ujpest?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chornomorets Odessa win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Chornomorets Odessa 55%, draw 23%, Ujpest 22%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Chornomorets Odessa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chornomorets Odessa) ✓ Over 2.5
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