Mumbai City 3-2 Punjab FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super Cup, 16 Jan 2024

Mumbai City
3-2
Punjab FC
📅16/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
India - Super Cup – 2025/2026

Mumbai City vs Punjab FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.39
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.27
6+ Goals
11%
12.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-3.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.0pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mumbai City v Punjab FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mumbai City EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Punjab FC EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
317 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Mumbai City vs Punjab FC Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mumbai City
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Punjab FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.05 xG 0.98
69% Ball Possession 31%
19 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 1
399 Passes 149
81% Pass Accuracy 64%
39 Box Touches 8
35 Crosses 5
6 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
02.11.2023 Mumbai City Mumbai City 2-1 HT 0-1 Punjab FC Punjab FC HİNSL
POST-MATCH Mumbai City vs Punjab FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mumbai City squeezed past Punjab FC 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mumbai City as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of Mumbai City vs Punjab FC?

Mumbai City 3-2 Punjab FC in the India - Super Cup on 16/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mumbai City vs Punjab FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mumbai City win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Mumbai City 46%, draw 27%, Punjab FC 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mumbai City), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mumbai City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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