Spad Alvand Tehran 1-1 Foolad Hormozgan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - 2nd Division, 16 Jan 2024

📅16/01/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
4.13
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
46%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
Over Pick
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
40%
4-5
19%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 50%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
34%
Home Win
21%
+13.5pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.6pp
46%
Away Win
55%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spad Alvand Tehran The Market 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Foolad Hormozgan The Market 59%
+68% / +68% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
206 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Spad Alvand Tehran vs Foolad Hormozgan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spad Alvand Tehran and Foolad Hormozgan shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Foolad Hormozgan at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Spad Alvand Tehran vs Foolad Hormozgan?

Spad Alvand Tehran 1-1 Foolad Hormozgan in the Iran - 2nd Division on 16/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spad Alvand Tehran vs Foolad Hormozgan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Foolad Hormozgan win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Spad Alvand Tehran 34%, draw 20%, Foolad Hormozgan 46%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Foolad Hormozgan)
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