Atromitos 4-0 AE Larissa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Cup, 16 Jan 2024

Atromitos
4-0 HT 1-0
AE Larissa
📅16/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Greece - Cup – 2023/2024

Atromitos vs AE Larissa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.92
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
3.7
6+ Goals
8%
16.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 30% vs market 27.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.18
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
15.35
X/1
17%
3.78
X/2
7%
9.68
X/X
15%
4.62
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
10%
8.1
2/X
6%
16.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-1.6pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.1pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+0.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.3pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atromitos v AE Larissa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atromitos EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY AE Larissa EU Bookmakers 24%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.82/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/1.53
-47% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / -26%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
369 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Atromitos vs AE Larissa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atromitos
2W-3D-1L
AWAY AE Larissa
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.66 xG 0.85
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
378 Passes 242
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
15 Box Touches 10
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
06.12.2023 AE Larissa AE Larissa 1-1 HT 0-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUK
10.04.2021 Atromitos Atromitos 0-1 HT 0-1 AE Larissa AE Larissa YUN
20.02.2021 Atromitos Atromitos 1-1 HT 0-1 AE Larissa AE Larissa YUN
28.11.2020 AE Larissa AE Larissa 0-0 HT 0-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
29.06.2020 Atromitos Atromitos 3-0 HT 1-0 AE Larissa AE Larissa YUN
15.12.2019 AE Larissa AE Larissa 1-2 HT 1-2 Atromitos Atromitos YUN

Atromitos 4-0 AE Larissa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atromitos
4-0
AWAY AE Larissa
64% Ball Possession 36%
7 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atromitos vs AE Larissa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atromitos swept aside AE Larissa 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atromitos as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Atromitos had 64% of the ball to AE Larissa's 36%, shots finished 7-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atromitos had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Atromitos and 0.67 for AE Larissa.

What was the final score of Atromitos vs AE Larissa?

Atromitos 4-0 AE Larissa in the Greece - Cup on 16/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atromitos vs AE Larissa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atromitos win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Atromitos 52%, draw 26%, AE Larissa 22%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atromitos), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atromitos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →