De Graafschap 0-2 Heracles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - KNVB Cup, 16 Jan 2025

📅16/01/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under
39%
2.23
Over Pick
61%
1.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.5
No
39%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1
18%
4.33
2-3
43%
1.85
4-5
29%
2.74
6+
10%
7.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.24
1/2
3%
25.5
1/X
6%
12.6
X/1
14%
5.58
X/2
12%
6.26
X/X
14%
5.57
2/1
4%
23.0
2/2
19%
3.87
2/X
5%
12.8
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME De Graafschap The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Heracles The Market 38%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.64 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.39
1.39 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.50
Strong Attack Strength Great
Great Defense Strength Weak
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
294 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 73%
33 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23
22 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME De Graafschap
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Heracles
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.49 xG 1.72
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
253 Passes 290
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2023 De Graafschap De Graafschap 5-3 HT 2-2 Heracles Heracles HOL2
07.10.2022 Heracles Heracles 3-2 HT 1-1 De Graafschap De Graafschap HOL2
30.03.2019 De Graafschap De Graafschap 1-2 HT 1-0 Heracles Heracles HOL
21.09.2018 Heracles Heracles 4-0 HT 1-0 De Graafschap De Graafschap HOL
23.01.2016 Heracles Heracles 2-1 HT 1-0 De Graafschap De Graafschap HOL
24.10.2015 De Graafschap De Graafschap 0-1 HT 0-0 Heracles Heracles HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME De Graafschap
0 - 2
AWAY Heracles
0.77 xG 1.04
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 9
306 Passes 357
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 24
9 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW De Graafschap vs Heracles
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Heracles took care of De Graafschap 2-0 on their travels. Half-time: 0-1.

A gentle 41% lean on De Graafschap didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Heracles saw more of the ball, 52% to 48%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.77 to 1.04.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Heracles led the recent series with 5 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for De Graafschap against 2.50 for Heracles.

De Graafschap vs Heracles Result & Final Score

De Graafschap 0 - 2 Heracles in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 16/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

De Graafschap vs Heracles Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a De Graafschap win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split De Graafschap 41%, draw 25%, Heracles 34%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (De Graafschap) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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