Colchester United U21 2-1 AFC Bournemouth U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 16 Jan 2026

📅16/01/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.69
Draw
16%
4.19
Away
62%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
Over 2.5
68%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.38
No
39%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
10%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
34%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
24%
-1.6pp
16%
Draw
21%
-4.6pp
62%
Away Win
56%
+6.2pp
61%
BTTS Yes
68%
-7.1pp
39%
BTTS No
32%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colchester United U21 EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Bournemouth U21 EU Bookmakers 60%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.59/2.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.26/1.95
+51% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -21%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
272 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colchester United U21
0W-0D-4L
AWAY AFC Bournemouth U21
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 3.75
06.10.2025 AFC Bournemouth U21 AFC Bournemouth U21 4-1 HT 0-1 Colchester United U21 Colchester United U21 INGPDL
25.04.2025 AFC Bournemouth U21 AFC Bournemouth U21 2-0 HT 0-0 Colchester United U21 Colchester United U21 INGPDL
17.01.2025 Colchester United U21 Colchester United U21 0-4 HT 0-1 AFC Bournemouth U21 AFC Bournemouth U21 INGPDL
05.03.2024 AFC Bournemouth U21 AFC Bournemouth U21 5-0 HT 2-0 Colchester United U21 Colchester United U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH Colchester United U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colchester United U21 squeezed past AFC Bournemouth U21 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had AFC Bournemouth U21 at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, AFC Bournemouth U21 led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Colchester United U21 and 3.75 for AFC Bournemouth U21.

What was the final score of Colchester United U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21?

Colchester United U21 2-1 AFC Bournemouth U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 16/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colchester United U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Bournemouth U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Colchester United U21 22%, draw 16%, AFC Bournemouth U21 62%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AFC Bournemouth U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Bournemouth U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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