Mathare United 1-0 Ulinzi Stars — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Kenya - Premier League, 16 Jan 2026

Mathare United Elo 1464 · World #1962 (clubs) LDWLL→
1 - 0 HT 1 - 0
Ulinzi Stars Elo 1469 · World #1899 (clubs) LLLWD→
📅16/01/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Kenya - Premier League – 2025/2026

Mathare United vs Ulinzi Stars Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 14:27
Match Result
Home
32%
2.82
Draw
37%
2.83
Away
31%
2.61
Under/Over 2.5
UnderVIEW
65%
Over
35%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.27
No
57%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1
38%
2-3
46%
4-5
14%
6+
2%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
26%
2/1
2%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Mathare United v Ulinzi Stars — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Mathare United The Market 36%
Signal
AWAY Ulinzi Stars The Market 38%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
0.96 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.97
1.11 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.12
Average Attack Strength Strong
Weak Defense Strength Bad
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
285 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2 Yellow Cards 2

Mathare United vs Ulinzi Stars Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mathare United
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Ulinzi Stars
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
The Meetings
01.12.2024 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars 0-0 HT 0-0 Mathare United Mathare United KEN

Mathare United 1-0 Ulinzi Stars — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mathare United
1 - 0
AWAY Ulinzi Stars
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Mathare United vs Ulinzi Stars
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Mathare United nicked a narrow win over Ulinzi Stars 1-0.

The model refused to pick a side here (32% / 37% / 31%); Mathare United picked one for it. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

By the numbers, Mathare United had 52% of the ball to Ulinzi Stars's 48%, shots finished 8-11.

Mathare United vs Ulinzi Stars Result & Final Score

Mathare United 1 - 0 Ulinzi Stars in the Kenya - Premier League on 16/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Mathare United vs Ulinzi Stars Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Mathare United 32%, draw 37%, Ulinzi Stars 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →