Al Bukayriyah 0-1 Diriyah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 16 Jan 2026

📅16/01/2026 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.5
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
47%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
22%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
25%
+4.3pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
46%
Away Win
49%
-2.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.9pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Bukayriyah EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Diriyah EU Bookmakers 54%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.58/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.71
-46% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -42%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Al Bukayriyah vs Diriyah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Diriyah squeezed past Al Bukayriyah 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Diriyah as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Al Bukayriyah vs Diriyah?

Al Bukayriyah 0-1 Diriyah in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 16/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Bukayriyah vs Diriyah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Diriyah win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Al Bukayriyah 29%, draw 24%, Diriyah 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Diriyah), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Diriyah) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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