West Bromwich 0-2 Southampton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 16 Feb 2024

West Bromwich
0-2 HT 0-1
Southampton
📅16/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Championship – 2023/2024

West Bromwich vs Southampton Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
42%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.7
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.2
6+ Goals
11%
11.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.7 — our 30% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.14
1/2
7%
24.6
1/X
8%
13.15
X/1
11%
6.13
X/2
15%
4.97
X/X
11%
4.96
2/1
8%
29.0
2/2
19%
3.1
2/X
8%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+0.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.7pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

West Bromwich v Southampton — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME West Bromwich EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Southampton EU Bookmakers 45%
+10% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +12%
1.43/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/0.86
+29% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -14%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
310 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 82%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.2
24.5 Crosses 16.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.8

West Bromwich vs Southampton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME West Bromwich
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Southampton
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.30 xG 1.37
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
234 Passes 391
70% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.11.2023 Southampton Southampton 2-1 HT 1-0 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
12.04.2021 West Bromwich West Bromwich 3-0 HT 2-0 Southampton Southampton İNP
04.10.2020 Southampton Southampton 2-0 HT 1-0 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNP
17.02.2018 West Bromwich West Bromwich 1-2 HT 0-1 Southampton Southampton FAK
03.02.2018 West Bromwich West Bromwich 2-3 HT 1-2 Southampton Southampton İNP
21.10.2017 Southampton Southampton 1-0 HT 0-0 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNP

West Bromwich 0-2 Southampton — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME West Bromwich
0-2
AWAY Southampton
0.76 xG 1.53
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 9
333 Passes 618
86% Pass Accuracy 92%
19 Box Touches 27
23 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH West Bromwich vs Southampton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southampton got the better of West Bromwich 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Southampton as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, West Bromwich had 37% of the ball to Southampton's 63%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 0.76 to 1.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Southampton led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for West Bromwich and 1.67 for Southampton.

What was the final score of West Bromwich vs Southampton?

West Bromwich 0-2 Southampton in the England - Championship on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for West Bromwich vs Southampton?

Before kick-off our model rated an Southampton win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split West Bromwich 32%, draw 26%, Southampton 42%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Southampton), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Southampton) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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