Chelsea (K) 0-1 Manchester City (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 16 Feb 2024

Chelsea (K)
0-1 HT 0-1
Manchester City (K)
📅16/02/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - Women's Premier League – 2023/2024

Chelsea (K) vs Manchester City (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.0
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
40%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
14%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-7.0pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.5pp
40%
Away Win
28%
+11.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.8pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chelsea (K) v Manchester City (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelsea (K) EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester City (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +54% / +54%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +100%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Chelsea (K) vs Manchester City (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelsea (K)
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Manchester City (K)
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.51 xG 1.12
48% Ball Possession 52%
18 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
312 Passes 358
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
42 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
08.12.2019 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) 2-1 HT 0-0 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) İNKPL
14.04.2019 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) 1-0 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) İNKFAK
10.02.2019 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) 2-2 HT 2-0 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) İNKPL
09.09.2018 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) İNKPL
15.04.2018 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) 2-0 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) İNKFAK
24.02.2018 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) 2-2 HT 0-2 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) İNKPL

Chelsea (K) 0-1 Manchester City (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelsea (K)
0-1
AWAY Manchester City (K)
1.82 xG 1.36
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 4
430 Passes 269
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
45 Box Touches 13
29 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chelsea (K) vs Manchester City (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester City (K) edged past Chelsea (K) 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (39% / 21% / 40%) promised a tight game; Manchester City (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Chelsea (K) had 60% of the ball to Manchester City (K)'s 40%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 1.82 to 1.36 — on chances, Chelsea (K) could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chelsea (K) had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Chelsea (K) and 1.00 for Manchester City (K).

What was the final score of Chelsea (K) vs Manchester City (K)?

Chelsea (K) 0-1 Manchester City (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelsea (K) vs Manchester City (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester City (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Chelsea (K) 39%, draw 21%, Manchester City (K) 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester City (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Manchester City (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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