16/02/2024
·
22:45
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-0
2nd Score
1-0
Cork City vs Kerry Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.24
— our 28% vs market 18.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Home Win
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
72%
18%
Draw
17%
17%
Away Win
10%
52%
Under 2.5
42%
48%
Over 2.5
58%
39%
BTTS Yes
45%
61%
BTTS No
55%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cork City v Kerry — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Cork City
EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY
Kerry
EU Bookmakers 14%
-9% /
-8%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-9% /
-10%
2.38/0.73
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.88/2.74
+2%
/
+20%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-2%
/
-19%
56%
Ball Possession
44%
15
Total Shots
7
7
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
3
404 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
213 · 69%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
0.0
Yellow Cards
2.4
POST-MATCH
Cork City vs Kerry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Cork City saw off Kerry 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Cork City as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.
What was the final score of Cork City vs Kerry?
Cork City 2-0 Kerry in the Ireland - 1st Division on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cork City vs Kerry?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cork City win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Cork City 65%, draw 18%, Kerry 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cork City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Cork City)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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İR1
More Ireland - 1st Division
16 Feb 2024