Villarreal 1-1 Getafe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 16 Feb 2024

📅16/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.39
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.43
6+ Goals
11%
13.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.39 — our 28% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.75
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
6%
12.95
X/1
20%
4.55
X/2
13%
7.06
X/X
13%
4.65
2/1
5%
24.6
2/2
11%
5.1
2/X
7%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.0pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.5pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villarreal EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Getafe EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
1.90/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.29
+26% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 77%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
16.3 Crosses 17.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Villarreal
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Getafe
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.38 xG 0.52
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
428 Passes 246
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
23 Box Touches 15
12 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2023 Getafe Getafe 0-0 HT 0-0 Villarreal Villarreal İS1
27.02.2023 Villarreal Villarreal 2-1 HT 1-1 Getafe Getafe İS1
28.08.2022 Getafe Getafe 0-0 HT 0-0 Villarreal Villarreal İS1
16.04.2022 Getafe Getafe 1-2 HT 0-2 Villarreal Villarreal İS1
07.11.2021 Villarreal Villarreal 1-0 HT 1-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
02.05.2021 Villarreal Villarreal 1-0 HT 0-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Villarreal
1-1
AWAY Getafe
1.25 xG 0.82
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
353 Passes 232
76% Pass Accuracy 63%
28 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Villarreal vs Getafe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Villarreal and Getafe shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Villarreal at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Villarreal had 56% of the ball to Getafe's 44%, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 1.25 to 0.82.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Villarreal had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Villarreal and 0.33 for Getafe.

What was the final score of Villarreal vs Getafe?

Villarreal 1-1 Getafe in the Spain - Primera Liga on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villarreal vs Getafe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Villarreal win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Villarreal 42%, draw 26%, Getafe 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Villarreal) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Villarreal) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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