Real Zaragoza 1-2 Cartagena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 16 Feb 2024

Real Zaragoza
1-2 HT 0-1
Cartagena
📅16/02/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Real Zaragoza vs Cartagena Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.36
Over 2.5
35%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.67
No
61%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
1.83
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
17%
7.58
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.58
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
5%
18.35
X/1
14%
3.53
X/2
7%
8.35
X/X
19%
3.32
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
8%
8.26
2/X
8%
19.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-4.8pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.0pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.8pp
65%
Under 2.5
70%
-4.8pp
35%
Over 2.5
30%
+4.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
33%
+5.7pp
61%
BTTS No
67%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Zaragoza v Cartagena — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Zaragoza EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Cartagena EU Bookmakers 23%
-4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
1.37/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.53
-20% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
347 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 73%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
22.8 Crosses 18.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9

Real Zaragoza vs Cartagena Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Zaragoza
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Cartagena
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.98 xG 0.96
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
324 Passes 337
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.09.2023 Cartagena Cartagena 1-3 HT 1-2 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
28.07.2023 Cartagena Cartagena 1-2 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza HAZ
13.05.2023 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 2-0 HT 1-0 Cartagena Cartagena İS2
26.08.2022 Cartagena Cartagena 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
19.03.2022 Cartagena Cartagena 3-0 HT 1-0 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
30.08.2021 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 0-1 HT 0-0 Cartagena Cartagena İS2

Real Zaragoza 1-2 Cartagena — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Zaragoza
1-2
AWAY Cartagena
1.47 xG 0.75
73% Ball Possession 27%
20 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
488 Passes 125
86% Pass Accuracy 57%
37 Box Touches 6
51 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Real Zaragoza vs Cartagena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cartagena edged past Real Zaragoza 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Real Zaragoza at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Zaragoza had 73% of the ball to Cartagena's 27%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 1.47 to 0.75 — on chances, Real Zaragoza could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Real Zaragoza and 1.17 for Cartagena.

What was the final score of Real Zaragoza vs Cartagena?

Real Zaragoza 1-2 Cartagena in the Spain - 2nd Division on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Zaragoza vs Cartagena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Zaragoza win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Real Zaragoza 46%, draw 31%, Cartagena 23%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Real Zaragoza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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