16/02/2024
·
13:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
0-1
Maccabi Shaarayim vs MS Dimona Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
No
59%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
28%
31%
Draw
27%
39%
Away Win
45%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Maccabi Shaarayim v MS Dimona — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Maccabi Shaarayim
EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY
MS Dimona
EU Bookmakers 49%
-44% /
-44%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-11%
/
-75%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
50%
Ball Possession
50%
12
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
334 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
361 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Maccabi Shaarayim vs MS Dimona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Maccabi Shaarayim edged past MS Dimona 1-0.
Our pre-match split (30% / 31% / 39%) promised a tight game; Maccabi Shaarayim found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of Maccabi Shaarayim vs MS Dimona?
Maccabi Shaarayim 1-0 MS Dimona in the Israel - Liga Alef on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Maccabi Shaarayim vs MS Dimona?
Before kick-off our model rated an MS Dimona win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Maccabi Shaarayim 30%, draw 31%, MS Dimona 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (MS Dimona) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (MS Dimona)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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İSALEF
More Israel - Liga Alef
16 Feb 2024