Chacarita Juniors 1-1 San Miguel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 16 Feb 2024

Chacarita Juniors
1-1 HT 1-0
San Miguel
📅16/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Argentina - National Primera Liga – 2024

Chacarita Juniors vs San Miguel Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.64
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
27%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.48
Over 2.5
43%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.51
No
56%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
4%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
57%
-15.3pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.6pp
27%
Away Win
16%
+10.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
36%
+8.3pp
56%
BTTS No
64%
-8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chacarita Juniors v San Miguel — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chacarita Juniors EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY San Miguel EU Bookmakers 19%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.36/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-3% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / –
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Chacarita Juniors 1-1 San Miguel — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chacarita Juniors
1-1
AWAY San Miguel
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Chacarita Juniors vs San Miguel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chacarita Juniors and San Miguel couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Chacarita Juniors at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Chacarita Juniors had 57% of the ball to San Miguel's 43%, shots finished 11-8.

What was the final score of Chacarita Juniors vs San Miguel?

Chacarita Juniors 1-1 San Miguel in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chacarita Juniors vs San Miguel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chacarita Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Chacarita Juniors 42%, draw 32%, San Miguel 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Chacarita Juniors), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chacarita Juniors) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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