Melbourne Victory (K) 4-0 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 16 Feb 2024

Melbourne Victory (K)
4-0 HT 1-0
W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
📅16/02/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2023/2024

Melbourne Victory (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.6
No
40%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-4.4pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.4pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.6pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Melbourne Victory (K) v W. Sydney Wanderers (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melbourne Victory (K) EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY W. Sydney Wanderers (K) EU Bookmakers 28%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
1.47/3.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.23
-4% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +146%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
394 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 74%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
16.0 Crosses 23.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0

Melbourne Victory (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melbourne Victory (K)
1W-2D-0L
AWAY W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.31 xG 0.75
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
232 Passes 310
69% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.12.2019 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) 1-1 HT 1-0 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) AVUSTW
02.12.2018 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) 2-1 HT 2-0 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) AVUSTW
19.01.2018 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 1-1 HT 1-0 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) AVUSTW

Melbourne Victory (K) 4-0 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Melbourne Victory (K)
4-0
AWAY W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
2.52 xG 0.55
56% Ball Possession 44%
24 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
352 Passes 256
78% Pass Accuracy 69%
36 Box Touches 13
26 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Melbourne Victory (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne Victory (K) swept aside W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Melbourne Victory (K) as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (60%) missed.

On the day, Melbourne Victory (K) had 56% of the ball to W. Sydney Wanderers (K)'s 44%, shots finished 24-11, expected goals 2.52 to 0.55.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Melbourne Victory (K) had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Melbourne Victory (K) and 1.00 for W. Sydney Wanderers (K).

What was the final score of Melbourne Victory (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K)?

Melbourne Victory (K) 4-0 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) in the Australia - W-League on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melbourne Victory (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melbourne Victory (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Melbourne Victory (K) 47%, draw 25%, W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 28%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne Victory (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Melbourne Victory (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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