Western United 2-0 Newcastle Jets — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 16 Feb 2024

Western United
2-0 HT 1-0
Newcastle Jets
📅16/02/2024 · 🕒11:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Australia - A-League – 2023/2024

Western United vs Newcastle Jets Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.38
Over 2.5
56%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.09
2-3 Goals
40%
1.94
4-5 Goals
25%
2.7
6+ Goals
14%
6.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.98
1/2
9%
26.5
1/X
10%
12.55
X/1
12%
5.29
X/2
10%
6.38
X/X
8%
5.7
2/1
7%
22.45
2/2
16%
3.87
2/X
6%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.2pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Western United v Newcastle Jets — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle Jets EU Bookmakers 37%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -12%
1.61/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.84
-18% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
358 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 80%
29.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
21.5 Crosses 18.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0

Western United vs Newcastle Jets Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Western United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Newcastle Jets
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.48 xG 1.74
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 6
359 Passes 375
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 22
25 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.12.2023 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets 2-0 HT 2-0 Western United Western United AVUS
11.11.2023 Western United Western United 0-1 HT 0-1 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets AVUS
25.02.2023 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets 1-3 HT 1-2 Western United Western United AVUS
15.01.2023 Western United Western United 1-1 HT 1-1 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets AVUS
04.05.2022 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets 1-1 HT 0-1 Western United Western United AVUS
05.03.2022 Western United Western United 2-1 HT 1-0 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets AVUS

Western United 2-0 Newcastle Jets — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Western United
2-0
AWAY Newcastle Jets
2.33 xG 2.18
45% Ball Possession 55%
17 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
404 Passes 504
84% Pass Accuracy 87%
29 Box Touches 29
6 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Western United vs Newcastle Jets
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Western United saw off Newcastle Jets 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Western United as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Western United had 45% of the ball to Newcastle Jets's 55%, shots finished 17-20, expected goals 2.33 to 2.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Western United and 1.17 for Newcastle Jets.

What was the final score of Western United vs Newcastle Jets?

Western United 2-0 Newcastle Jets in the Australia - A-League on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western United vs Newcastle Jets?

Before kick-off our model rated a Western United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Western United 41%, draw 25%, Newcastle Jets 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Western United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Western United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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