16/02/2024
·
13:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-0
Sorrento vs East Perth Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
3%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
30%
Draw
29%
25%
Away Win
25%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sorrento v East Perth — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Sorrento
EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY
East Perth
EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
49%
Ball Possession
51%
11
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
278 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
303 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Sorrento vs East Perth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Sorrento beat East Perth 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Sorrento as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.
What was the final score of Sorrento vs East Perth?
Sorrento 2-0 East Perth in the Australia - West State League Gece Serisi on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sorrento vs East Perth?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sorrento win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sorrento 45%, draw 30%, East Perth 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sorrento), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Sorrento)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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BAELGS
More Australia - West State League Gece Serisi
16 Feb 2024