Lierse Kempenzonen 3-1 KRC Genk II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 16 Feb 2024

📅16/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.17
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
42%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.51
Over 2.5
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.43
No
48%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
5.67
2-3 Goals
40%
2.01
4-5 Goals
24%
2.58
6+ Goals
10%
6.01
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
28%
+4.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.4pp
42%
Away Win
48%
-6.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
66%
-13.3pp
48%
BTTS No
34%
+13.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lierse Kempenzonen EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY KRC Genk II EU Bookmakers 52%
-9% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -65% / -65%
1.14/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/2.05
+7% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / -65%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
347 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 79%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 44.3
20.4 Crosses 17.3
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lierse Kempenzonen
2W-0D-1L
AWAY KRC Genk II
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.36 xG 1.93
46% Ball Possession 54%
18 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 4
276 Passes 363
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 27
27 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2023 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II 1-3 HT 1-1 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
06.11.2022 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 4-2 HT 2-1 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II BEL2
14.08.2022 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II 4-1 HT 1-1 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lierse Kempenzonen
3-1
AWAY KRC Genk II
1.48 xG 2.04
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
240 Passes 240
70% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lierse Kempenzonen vs KRC Genk II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lierse Kempenzonen saw off KRC Genk II 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was KRC Genk II at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Lierse Kempenzonen had 52% of the ball to KRC Genk II's 48%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 1.48 to 2.04 — on chances, KRC Genk II could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lierse Kempenzonen had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Lierse Kempenzonen and 2.33 for KRC Genk II.

What was the final score of Lierse Kempenzonen vs KRC Genk II?

Lierse Kempenzonen 3-1 KRC Genk II in the Belgium - 1st Division on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lierse Kempenzonen vs KRC Genk II?

Before kick-off our model rated an KRC Genk II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Lierse Kempenzonen 32%, draw 26%, KRC Genk II 42%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KRC Genk II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KRC Genk II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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