Westerlo 2-1 Standard Liege — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 16 Feb 2024

Westerlo
2-1 HT 1-1
Standard Liege
📅16/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2023/2024

Westerlo vs Standard Liege Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.78
Over 2.5
53%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.08
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.72
6+ Goals
12%
15.95
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.72 — our 25% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.47
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
7%
12.7
X/1
15%
5.2
X/2
13%
5.8
X/X
11%
4.29
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
13%
4.04
2/X
7%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
39%
+2.9pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.2pp
33%
Away Win
33%
+0.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.4pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Westerlo v Standard Liege — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Westerlo EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Standard Liege EU Bookmakers 37%
-9% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
1.71/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.53
+40% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
332 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 73%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
15.6 Crosses 17.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3

Westerlo vs Standard Liege Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Westerlo
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Standard Liege
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.15 xG 1.52
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
375 Passes 424
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 29
12 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
22.09.2023 Standard Liege Standard Liege 0-0 HT 0-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
20.05.2023 Westerlo Westerlo 3-0 HT 2-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
13.05.2023 Standard Liege Standard Liege 2-2 HT 1-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
04.03.2023 Standard Liege Standard Liege 2-0 HT 1-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
13.08.2022 Westerlo Westerlo 4-2 HT 1-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
11.12.2016 Standard Liege Standard Liege 3-1 HT 2-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL

Westerlo 2-1 Standard Liege — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Westerlo
2-1
AWAY Standard Liege
2.29 xG 0.42
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
224 Passes 449
73% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Westerlo vs Standard Liege
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Westerlo squeezed past Standard Liege 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Westerlo as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Westerlo had 37% of the ball to Standard Liege's 63%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 2.29 to 0.42 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Westerlo's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Westerlo and 1.50 for Standard Liege.

What was the final score of Westerlo vs Standard Liege?

Westerlo 2-1 Standard Liege in the Belgium - Pro League on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Westerlo vs Standard Liege?

Before kick-off our model rated a Westerlo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Westerlo 42%, draw 25%, Standard Liege 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Westerlo), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Westerlo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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