Caucaia 0-1 Horizonte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cearense 1, 16 Feb 2024

📅16/02/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
2.53
Draw
35%
3.8
Away
42%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under
37%
Over Pick
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
No
40%
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
28%
4-5
28%
6+
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
11%
1/X
3%
X/1
5%
X/2
11%
X/X
26%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
23%
Home Win
36%
-13.1pp
35%
Draw
23%
+12.2pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caucaia The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Horizonte The Market 45%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-15% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
482 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caucaia
0-1
AWAY Horizonte
65% Ball Possession 35%
21 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Caucaia vs Horizonte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Horizonte squeezed past Caucaia 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Horizonte as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Caucaia had 65% of the ball to Horizonte's 35%, shots finished 21-8.

What was the final score of Caucaia vs Horizonte?

Caucaia 0-1 Horizonte in the Brazil - Cearense 1 on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caucaia vs Horizonte?

Before kick-off our model rated an Horizonte win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Caucaia 23%, draw 35%, Horizonte 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Horizonte) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Horizonte) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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