Hebar 1918 0-1 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 16 Feb 2024

📅16/02/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.27
Draw
23%
3.04
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
40%
+5.8pp
23%
Draw
29%
-6.6pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.8pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hebar 1918 EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 EU Bookmakers 34%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.20/0.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/0.96
+23% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
276 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hebar 1918
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
44% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2023 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 0-1 HT 0-1 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 BUL1
29.04.2023 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-4 HT 1-1 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hebar 1918
0-1
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hebar 1918 vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 edged past Hebar 1918 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Hebar 1918 at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Hebar 1918 had 55% of the ball to Lokomotiv Sofia 1929's 45%, shots finished 12-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Hebar 1918 had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Hebar 1918 and 0.50 for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929.

What was the final score of Hebar 1918 vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?

Hebar 1918 0-1 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hebar 1918 vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hebar 1918 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Hebar 1918 46%, draw 23%, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Hebar 1918) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hebar 1918) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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