Montana 2-1 Litex Lovech — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 2nd Division, 16 Feb 2024

📅16/02/2024 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.8
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
52%
-8.6pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.7pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montana EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Litex Lovech EU Bookmakers 23%
+41% / +41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montana
2-1
AWAY Litex Lovech
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Montana vs Litex Lovech
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montana nicked a narrow win over Litex Lovech 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Montana as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Montana had 55% of the ball to Litex Lovech's 45%, shots finished 15-7.

What was the final score of Montana vs Litex Lovech?

Montana 2-1 Litex Lovech in the Bulgaria - 2nd Division on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montana vs Litex Lovech?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montana win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Montana 43%, draw 31%, Litex Lovech 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Montana) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Montana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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