USM Khenchela 1-0 USM Alger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 16 Feb 2024

📅16/02/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.27
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
25%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.45
Over 2.5
35%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.16
No
60%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.08
2-3 Goals
44%
1.8
4-5 Goals
14%
6.02
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
40%
+7.4pp
28%
Draw
31%
-3.2pp
25%
Away Win
29%
-4.2pp
65%
Under 2.5
65%
+0.1pp
35%
Over 2.5
35%
-0.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.9pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Khenchela EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY USM Alger EU Bookmakers 33%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -32%
0.99/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.22
-15% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM Khenchela
0W-0D-3L
AWAY USM Alger
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
4 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
14.10.2023 USM Alger USM Alger 3-0 HT 0-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
13.04.2023 USM Alger USM Alger 2-0 HT 2-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
02.09.2022 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 0-1 HT 0-1 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
POST-MATCH USM Khenchela vs USM Alger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Khenchela edged past USM Alger 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had USM Khenchela as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, USM Alger led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for USM Khenchela and 2.00 for USM Alger.

What was the final score of USM Khenchela vs USM Alger?

USM Khenchela 1-0 USM Alger in the Algeria - 1st Division on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Khenchela vs USM Alger?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM Khenchela win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split USM Khenchela 47%, draw 28%, USM Alger 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (USM Khenchela), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (USM Khenchela) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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