Viborg 1-2 Odense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 16 Feb 2024

Viborg
1-2 HT 1-2
Odense
📅16/02/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Denmark - Süperlig – 2023/2024

Viborg vs Odense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.57
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.3
6+ Goals
11%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.57 — our 27% vs market 22.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.96
1/2
10%
32.0
1/X
9%
12.85
X/1
10%
4.81
X/2
14%
6.49
X/X
8%
4.79
2/1
8%
24.6
2/2
11%
4.51
2/X
10%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-5.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.4pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Viborg v Odense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viborg EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Odense EU Bookmakers 34%
-8% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +19%
1.49/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.45
-7% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
343 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 78%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
21.1 Crosses 16.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8

Viborg vs Odense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viborg
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Odense
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.82 xG 1.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
343 Passes 437
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.08.2023 Odense Odense 1-2 HT 0-1 Viborg Viborg DAN
16.10.2022 Viborg Viborg 0-0 HT 0-0 Odense Odense DAN
04.09.2022 Odense Odense 1-2 HT 1-0 Viborg Viborg DAN
12.05.2022 Odense Odense 1-1 HT 1-1 Viborg Viborg DAN
17.04.2022 Viborg Viborg 1-1 HT 1-0 Odense Odense DAN
19.11.2021 Odense Odense 2-3 HT 0-2 Viborg Viborg DAN

Viborg 1-2 Odense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viborg
1-2
AWAY Odense
0.90 xG 2.08
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
427 Passes 270
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 20
26 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Viborg vs Odense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Odense edged past Viborg 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Odense made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Viborg had 59% of the ball to Odense's 41%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 0.90 to 2.08.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viborg had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Viborg and 1.00 for Odense.

What was the final score of Viborg vs Odense?

Viborg 1-2 Odense in the Denmark - Süperlig on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viborg vs Odense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viborg win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Viborg 38%, draw 27%, Odense 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Viborg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →