Fasil Ketema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fasil Ketema v Ethiopia Nigd Bank — Team-Based Signals
Fasil Ketema 2-4 Ethiopia Nigd Bank — Actual Match Statistics
Ethiopia Nigd Bank beat Fasil Ketema 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Fasil Ketema at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Fasil Ketema had 51% of the ball to Ethiopia Nigd Bank's 49%, shots finished 10-6.
What was the final score of Fasil Ketema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
Fasil Ketema 2-4 Ethiopia Nigd Bank in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fasil Ketema vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fasil Ketema win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Fasil Ketema 46%, draw 29%, Ethiopia Nigd Bank 25%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.