Ilves Tampere 2-2 Haka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - League Cup, 16 Feb 2024

📅16/02/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
32%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.73
No
43%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.27
2-3 Goals
46%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.53
6+ Goals
9%
14.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-7.2pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.3pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
54%
+3.4pp
43%
BTTS No
46%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilves Tampere EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Haka EU Bookmakers 28%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
2.35/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.36
+73% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / +15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilves Tampere
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Haka
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.36 xG 1.89
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
362 Passes 237
77% Pass Accuracy 71%
29 Box Touches 22
23 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.09.2023 Haka Haka 2-2 HT 2-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
04.08.2023 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 1-2 HT 0-1 Haka Haka FİN
07.06.2023 Haka Haka 1-1 HT 0-1 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
04.02.2023 Haka Haka 1-0 HT 0-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FLK
27.08.2022 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 2-3 HT 1-1 Haka Haka FİN
02.04.2022 Haka Haka 2-1 HT 2-1 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ilves Tampere
2-2
AWAY Haka
66% Ball Possession 34%
5 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ilves Tampere vs Haka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilves Tampere and Haka shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ilves Tampere at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Ilves Tampere had 66% of the ball to Haka's 34%, shots finished 5-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Haka led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ilves Tampere and 1.83 for Haka.

What was the final score of Ilves Tampere vs Haka?

Ilves Tampere 2-2 Haka in the Finland - League Cup on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilves Tampere vs Haka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ilves Tampere win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ilves Tampere 44%, draw 24%, Haka 31%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ilves Tampere) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ilves Tampere) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →