Lyon 1-0 Nice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 16 Feb 2024

Lyon
1-0 HT 1-0
Nice
📅16/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
France - Ligue 1 – 2023/2024

Lyon vs Nice Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.7
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
4.24
6+ Goals
8%
21.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.7 — our 33% vs market 30.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.85
1/2
9%
32.0
1/X
8%
13.15
X/1
11%
5.37
X/2
13%
5.38
X/X
15%
3.97
2/1
8%
32.0
2/2
12%
3.86
2/X
9%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-1.3pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.5pp
34%
Away Win
35%
-1.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.1pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lyon v Nice — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lyon EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Nice EU Bookmakers 38%
+7% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.38/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.45
+30% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +21%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
351 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 424 · 83%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
13.3 Crosses 15.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0

Lyon vs Nice Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lyon
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Nice
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.42 xG 1.68
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
489 Passes 366
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
30 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
27.08.2023 Nice Nice 0-0 HT 0-0 Lyon Lyon FR1
03.06.2023 Nice Nice 3-1 HT 3-1 Lyon Lyon FR1
11.11.2022 Lyon Lyon 1-1 HT 0-1 Nice Nice FR1
12.02.2022 Lyon Lyon 2-0 HT 1-0 Nice Nice FR1
24.10.2021 Nice Nice 3-2 HT 0-1 Lyon Lyon FR1
23.05.2021 Lyon Lyon 2-3 HT 2-1 Nice Nice FR1

Lyon 1-0 Nice — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lyon
1-0
AWAY Nice
1.08 xG 0.80
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 20
1 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 9
356 Passes 381
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Box Touches 34
17 Crosses 30
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lyon vs Nice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lyon edged past Nice 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 32% / 34% — and on the day Lyon made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Lyon had 49% of the ball to Nice's 51%, shots finished 9-20, expected goals 1.08 to 0.80.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nice led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lyon and 1.67 for Nice.

What was the final score of Lyon vs Nice?

Lyon 1-0 Nice in the France - Ligue 1 on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lyon vs Nice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lyon win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Lyon 35%, draw 32%, Nice 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lyon), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lyon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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