University Of Pretoria 2-1 Upington City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - 1st Division, 16 Feb 2024

📅16/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
22%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.48
Over 2.5
32%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.19
No
64%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
-0.2pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.7pp
22%
Away Win
23%
-0.5pp
68%
Under 2.5
64%
+3.9pp
32%
Over 2.5
36%
-3.9pp
36%
BTTS Yes
42%
-6.0pp
64%
BTTS No
58%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME University Of Pretoria EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Upington City EU Bookmakers 26%
-11% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.08/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.18
-24% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
302 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME University Of Pretoria
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Upington City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
01.11.2023 Upington City Upington City 2-1 HT 0-0 University Of Pretoria University Of Pretoria GAF1
POST-MATCH University Of Pretoria vs Upington City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

University Of Pretoria squeezed past Upington City 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had University Of Pretoria as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of University Of Pretoria vs Upington City?

University Of Pretoria 2-1 Upington City in the South Afrika - 1st Division on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for University Of Pretoria vs Upington City?

Before kick-off our model rated a University Of Pretoria win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split University Of Pretoria 48%, draw 30%, Upington City 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (University Of Pretoria) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (University Of Pretoria) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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