Llanelli Town 3-1 Taffs Well — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 16 Feb 2024

📅16/02/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.33
Over 2.5
51%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
3%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
59%
-6.5pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.1pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+1.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
39%
+10.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
61%
-10.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.0pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Llanelli Town EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Taffs Well EU Bookmakers 23%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
2.26/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/2.78
+0% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -21%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
360 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Llanelli Town
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Taffs Well
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
06.10.2023 Taffs Well Taffs Well 1-1 HT 0-0 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town GALFAW
02.01.2023 Taffs Well Taffs Well 1-2 HT 1-1 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town GALFAW
27.12.2022 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town 4-0 HT 1-0 Taffs Well Taffs Well GALFAW
11.02.2022 Taffs Well Taffs Well 2-1 HT 1-0 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town GALFAW
22.10.2021 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Taffs Well Taffs Well GALFAW
POST-MATCH Llanelli Town vs Taffs Well
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Llanelli Town saw off Taffs Well 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Llanelli Town as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Llanelli Town had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Llanelli Town and 1.00 for Taffs Well.

What was the final score of Llanelli Town vs Taffs Well?

Llanelli Town 3-1 Taffs Well in the Wales - FAW Championship on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Llanelli Town vs Taffs Well?

Before kick-off our model rated a Llanelli Town win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Llanelli Town 52%, draw 27%, Taffs Well 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Llanelli Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Llanelli Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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