16/02/2024
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-2
BST Galaxy vs TMT Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
Over
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
35%
4-5
26%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
22%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 54% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
33%
Home Win
52%
35%
Draw
24%
32%
Away Win
24%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
BST Galaxy v TMT — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
BST Galaxy
The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY
TMT
The Market 27%
-76% /
-76%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-35% /
-35%
0.00/2.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.00/2.00
-100%
/
-77%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+37%
/
-46%
54%
Ball Possession
46%
14
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
5
340 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
255 · 69%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
BST Galaxy vs TMT
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
BST Galaxy and TMT couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
Our pre-match split (33% / 35% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
What was the final score of BST Galaxy vs TMT?
BST Galaxy 1-1 TMT in the Gambiya - GFA League on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for BST Galaxy vs TMT?
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split BST Galaxy 33%, draw 35%, TMT 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Draw)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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GAM
More Gambiya - GFA League
16 Feb 2024