16/02/2024
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-0
Steve Biko vs Marimoo Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
Over
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2-3
41%
4-5
16%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
37%
Home Win
30%
24%
Draw
28%
39%
Away Win
42%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Steve Biko v Marimoo — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Steve Biko
The Market 33%
Head to Head
AWAY
Marimoo
The Market 46%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-57% /
-57%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
-32%
46%
Ball Possession
54%
12
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
5
255 · 72%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
358 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Steve Biko vs Marimoo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Steve Biko and Marimoo fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.
Our pre-match split (37% / 24% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of Steve Biko vs Marimoo?
Steve Biko 0-0 Marimoo in the Gambiya - GFA League on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Steve Biko vs Marimoo?
Before kick-off our model rated an Marimoo win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Steve Biko 37%, draw 24%, Marimoo 39%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Marimoo) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Marimoo)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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GAM
More Gambiya - GFA League
16 Feb 2024