Chennaiyin FC 1-0 Kerala Blasters — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 16 Feb 2024

Chennaiyin FC
1-0 HT 0-0
Kerala Blasters
📅16/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
India - Super League – 2023/2024

Chennaiyin FC vs Kerala Blasters Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
39%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.49
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.35
6+ Goals
9%
12.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.49 — our 28% vs market 22.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+1.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.2pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+1.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.3pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chennaiyin FC v Kerala Blasters — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chennaiyin FC EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Kerala Blasters EU Bookmakers 42%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.51/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.92
-23% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +48%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
17.6 Crosses 17.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9

Chennaiyin FC vs Kerala Blasters Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chennaiyin FC
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Kerala Blasters
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.12 xG 1.48
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
256 Passes 313
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
29.11.2023 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 3-3 HT 2-3 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC HİNSL
07.02.2023 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 2-1 HT 1-1 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC HİNSL
19.12.2022 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL
26.02.2022 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 3-0 HT 0-0 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC HİNSL
22.12.2021 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC 0-3 HT 0-2 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL
21.02.2021 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 1-1 HT 1-1 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC HİNSL

Chennaiyin FC 1-0 Kerala Blasters — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chennaiyin FC
1-0
AWAY Kerala Blasters
1.13 xG 0.29
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
279 Passes 233
73% Pass Accuracy 68%
19 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Chennaiyin FC vs Kerala Blasters
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chennaiyin FC edged past Kerala Blasters 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 25% / 39%) promised a tight game; Chennaiyin FC found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Chennaiyin FC had 53% of the ball to Kerala Blasters's 47%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 1.13 to 0.29.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kerala Blasters led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chennaiyin FC and 2.17 for Kerala Blasters.

What was the final score of Chennaiyin FC vs Kerala Blasters?

Chennaiyin FC 1-0 Kerala Blasters in the India - Super League on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chennaiyin FC vs Kerala Blasters?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kerala Blasters win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Chennaiyin FC 36%, draw 25%, Kerala Blasters 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Kerala Blasters) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kerala Blasters) ✓ BTTS No
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