CSKA Moscow 4-0 FK Rodina Moskva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 16 Feb 2024

📅16/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
Over
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No Pick
52%
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
41%
4-5
18%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
11%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.5pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.3pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA Moscow The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Rodina Moskva The Market 30%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+77% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
253 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH CSKA Moscow vs FK Rodina Moskva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Moscow ran out comfortable winners over FK Rodina Moskva 4-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CSKA Moscow as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of CSKA Moscow vs FK Rodina Moskva?

CSKA Moscow 4-0 FK Rodina Moskva in the Friendlies on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA Moscow vs FK Rodina Moskva?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split CSKA Moscow 45%, draw 23%, FK Rodina Moskva 32%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Moscow), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CSKA Moscow) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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