Jarun 1-0 Dubrava Zagreb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 16 Feb 2024

📅16/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.27
Draw
20%
3.11
Away
37%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.68
Over 2.5
38%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
1.82
No
67%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
3%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
30%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
40%
+3.1pp
20%
Draw
29%
-8.9pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+5.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.3pp
33%
BTTS Yes
51%
-17.5pp
67%
BTTS No
49%
+17.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jarun EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Dubrava Zagreb EU Bookmakers 34%
-62% / -62% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
342 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jarun
1-0
AWAY Dubrava Zagreb
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jarun vs Dubrava Zagreb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jarun squeezed past Dubrava Zagreb 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Jarun as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (67%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Jarun had 55% of the ball to Dubrava Zagreb's 45%, shots finished 11-6.

What was the final score of Jarun vs Dubrava Zagreb?

Jarun 1-0 Dubrava Zagreb in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jarun vs Dubrava Zagreb?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jarun win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Jarun 43%, draw 20%, Dubrava Zagreb 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jarun), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jarun) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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