Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-0 Sanat Naft — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 16 Feb 2024

📅16/02/2024 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.28
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
15%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.75
No
54%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.03
2-3 Goals
35%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.77
6+ Goals
13%
16.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
74%
-11.8pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.6pp
15%
Away Win
8%
+6.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
32%
+14.2pp
54%
BTTS No
68%
-14.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esteghlal Khuzestan EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanat Naft EU Bookmakers 11%
+1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +21%
1.52/0.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.49
-11% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
394 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esteghlal Khuzestan
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Sanat Naft
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
10.08.2023 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft 0-3 HT 0-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
05.05.2023 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-1 HT 1-0 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft IRAN
25.12.2022 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft 0-1 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
11.03.2022 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-0 HT 1-0 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft IRAN
29.11.2021 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft 1-1 HT 1-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
24.05.2021 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft 0-1 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
POST-MATCH Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Sanat Naft
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esteghlal Khuzestan edged past Sanat Naft 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Esteghlal Khuzestan as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Esteghlal Khuzestan had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Esteghlal Khuzestan and 0.33 for Sanat Naft.

What was the final score of Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Sanat Naft?

Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-0 Sanat Naft in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Sanat Naft?

Before kick-off our model rated a Esteghlal Khuzestan win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Esteghlal Khuzestan 62%, draw 23%, Sanat Naft 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Esteghlal Khuzestan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Esteghlal Khuzestan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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