Coleraine FC 3-0 Linfield FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 16 Feb 2024

📅16/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.29
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
41%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.57
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.3
6+ Goals
12%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.57 — our 28% vs market 22.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.24
1/2
11%
23.3
1/X
5%
14.0
X/1
15%
7.24
X/2
13%
4.37
X/X
12%
5.02
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
17%
2.6
2/X
7%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
27%
+8.4pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.7pp
41%
Away Win
48%
-7.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.7pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coleraine FC EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Linfield FC EU Bookmakers 52%
+6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +3%
1.06/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.40
-10% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -18%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coleraine FC
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Linfield FC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.12.2023 Linfield FC Linfield FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
02.09.2023 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 1-3 HT 0-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
15.04.2023 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
12.03.2023 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KILK
12.03.2023 Linfield FC Linfield FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRLK
25.02.2023 Linfield FC Linfield FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coleraine FC
3-0
AWAY Linfield FC
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Coleraine FC vs Linfield FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coleraine FC swept aside Linfield FC 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Linfield FC at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Coleraine FC had 41% of the ball to Linfield FC's 59%, shots finished 12-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Linfield FC led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Coleraine FC and 1.67 for Linfield FC.

What was the final score of Coleraine FC vs Linfield FC?

Coleraine FC 3-0 Linfield FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coleraine FC vs Linfield FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Linfield FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Coleraine FC 35%, draw 24%, Linfield FC 41%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Linfield FC), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Linfield FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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