Paksi SE 3-4 Zalaegerszegi TE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 16 Feb 2024

Paksi SE
3-4 HT 2-0
Zalaegerszegi TE
📅16/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Hungary - NB I – 2023/2024

Paksi SE vs Zalaegerszegi TE Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.78
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.17
6+ Goals
12%
10.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
58%
-10.4pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.6pp
28%
Away Win
19%
+8.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.9pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Paksi SE v Zalaegerszegi TE — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paksi SE EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE EU Bookmakers 22%
+5% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -4%
1.92/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.35
+11% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
359 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 73%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
30.5 Crosses 14.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.0

Paksi SE vs Zalaegerszegi TE Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paksi SE
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
3.15 xG 1.92
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
235 Passes 288
68% Pass Accuracy 71%
31 Box Touches 14
32 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.10.2023 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 2-5 HT 2-3 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
26.05.2023 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 1-1 HT 1-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
04.03.2023 Paksi SE Paksi SE 3-1 HT 2-1 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
15.10.2022 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 3-0 HT 2-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
23.04.2022 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 2-3 HT 2-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
29.01.2022 Paksi SE Paksi SE 3-2 HT 2-1 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC

Paksi SE 3-4 Zalaegerszegi TE — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paksi SE
3-4
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE
3.90 xG 2.12
60% Ball Possession 40%
30 Total Shots 7
11 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 2
360 Passes 230
76% Pass Accuracy 67%
58 Box Touches 11
48 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Paksi SE vs Zalaegerszegi TE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalaegerszegi TE squeezed past Paksi SE 4-3 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Paksi SE at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Paksi SE had 60% of the ball to Zalaegerszegi TE's 40%, shots finished 30-7, expected goals 3.90 to 2.12 — the balance of chances actually favoured Paksi SE.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paksi SE had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Paksi SE and 1.83 for Zalaegerszegi TE.

What was the final score of Paksi SE vs Zalaegerszegi TE?

Paksi SE 3-4 Zalaegerszegi TE in the Hungary - NB I on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paksi SE vs Zalaegerszegi TE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paksi SE win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Paksi SE 47%, draw 25%, Zalaegerszegi TE 28%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Paksi SE) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paksi SE) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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