Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-1 Mineros de Zacatecas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 16 Feb 2024

Tepatitlán de Morelos
1-1 HT 1-0
Mineros de Zacatecas
📅16/02/2024 · 🕒06:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Mexico - Primera A – 2023/2024

Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Mineros de Zacatecas Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
35%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
30%
+8.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
35%
Away Win
44%
-8.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.4pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tepatitlán de Morelos v Mineros de Zacatecas — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tepatitlán de Morelos EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Mineros de Zacatecas EU Bookmakers 48%
+14% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
1.19/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.09/2.72
+0% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -93% / -56%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
371 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Mineros de Zacatecas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tepatitlán de Morelos
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Mineros de Zacatecas
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
The Meetings
20.11.2023 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 5-2 HT 2-0 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
17.11.2023 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 0-2 HT 0-1 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
24.08.2023 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 4-1 HT 2-1 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
23.02.2023 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 2-2 HT 2-1 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
20.07.2022 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 1-1 HT 1-0 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
29.01.2022 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 1-0 HT 1-0 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
POST-MATCH Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Mineros de Zacatecas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tepatitlán de Morelos and Mineros de Zacatecas couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mineros de Zacatecas led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tepatitlán de Morelos and 2.50 for Mineros de Zacatecas.

What was the final score of Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-1 Mineros de Zacatecas in the Mexico - Primera A on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tepatitlán de Morelos win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Tepatitlán de Morelos 38%, draw 27%, Mineros de Zacatecas 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tepatitlán de Morelos), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tepatitlán de Morelos) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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