Aluminij 1-2 Koper — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 16 Feb 2024

Aluminij
1-2 HT 1-1
Koper
📅16/02/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Slovenia - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Aluminij vs Koper Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.69
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
49%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.08
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.72
6+ Goals
11%
15.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.08 — our 30% vs market 26.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
23%
+3.1pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.1pp
49%
Away Win
51%
-2.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.2pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aluminij v Koper — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aluminij EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Koper EU Bookmakers 56%
-10% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +6%
0.66/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.05
-35% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -16%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
268 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 499 · 85%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8

Aluminij vs Koper Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aluminij
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Koper
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.11.2023 Aluminij Aluminij 3-2 HT 2-1 Koper Koper SLVN
08.10.2023 Koper Koper 4-1 HT 3-0 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
05.04.2023 Aluminij Aluminij 1-0 HT 0-0 Koper Koper SLVNK
20.03.2022 Koper Koper 2-0 HT 1-0 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
04.12.2021 Aluminij Aluminij 1-1 HT 0-0 Koper Koper SLVN
23.09.2021 Koper Koper 1-3 HT 1-1 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN

Aluminij 1-2 Koper — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aluminij
1-2
AWAY Koper
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Aluminij vs Koper
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Koper edged past Aluminij 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Koper as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aluminij had 42% of the ball to Koper's 58%, shots finished 7-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aluminij had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Aluminij and 1.67 for Koper.

What was the final score of Aluminij vs Koper?

Aluminij 1-2 Koper in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aluminij vs Koper?

Before kick-off our model rated an Koper win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Aluminij 27%, draw 24%, Koper 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Koper) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Koper) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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