Kasımpaşa 1-1 Fatih Karagümrük — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 16 Feb 2024

Kasımpaşa
1 - 1 HT 1 - 1
Fatih Karagümrük
📅16/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2023/2024

Kasımpaşa vs Fatih Karagümrük Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
40%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.03
Over
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
59%
1.56
No
41%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1
21%
4.1
2-3
45%
1.84
4-5
26%
3.01
6+
8%
9.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.01
1/2
3%
24.15
1/X
6%
12.4
X/1
11%
6.24
X/2
13%
5.24
X/X
15%
5.02
2/1
3%
28.0
2/2
23%
3.14
2/X
6%
12.3
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Kasımpaşa v Fatih Karagümrük — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Kasımpaşa The Market 38%
Signal
AWAY Fatih Karagümrük The Market 45%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.54 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.44
1.72 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.18
Great Attack Strength Average
Bad Defense Strength Weak
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 81%
24 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2

Kasımpaşa vs Fatih Karagümrük Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kasımpaşa
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Fatih Karagümrük
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.60 xG 1.64
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
336 Passes 410
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
01.10.2023 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 2-3 HT 1-3 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
06.06.2023 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 3-0 HT 1-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
15.01.2023 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 2-2 HT 1-0 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük TSL
09.04.2022 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 3-2 HT 2-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
21.11.2021 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 1-3 HT 1-3 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük TSL
20.02.2021 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 3-2 HT 1-1 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük TSL

Kasımpaşa 1-1 Fatih Karagümrük — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kasımpaşa
1 - 1
AWAY Fatih Karagümrük
0.55 xG 1.48
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 11
233 Passes 364
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 31
11 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Kasımpaşa vs Fatih Karagümrük
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

a 1-1 draw left Kasımpaşa and Fatih Karagümrük with a point apiece.

The preview numbers (34% / 27% / 40%) promised nothing between these sides, and the point apiece bears that out. The goals card split: both teams to score (59%) came in, over 2.5 goals (56%) didn't.

The match data tells the story: Kasımpaşa had 41% of the ball to Fatih Karagümrük's 59%, shots finished 7-18, expected goals 0.55 to 1.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fatih Karagümrük led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Kasımpaşa and 2.50 for Fatih Karagümrük.

Kasımpaşa vs Fatih Karagümrük Result & Final Score

Kasımpaşa 1 - 1 Fatih Karagümrük in the Turkey - Super League on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Kasımpaşa vs Fatih Karagümrük Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Fatih Karagümrük win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kasımpaşa 34%, draw 27%, Fatih Karagümrük 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fatih Karagümrük), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fatih Karagümrük) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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