Barcelona (K) 5-1 Madrid CFF (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.11
Draw
33%
8.78
Away
33%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
85%
-51.9pp
33%
Draw
8%
+24.9pp
33%
Away Win
6%
+26.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barcelona (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Madrid CFF (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
-7% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
4.22/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/2.24
+101% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -44%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
60.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
32.1 Crosses 13.0
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barcelona (K)
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Madrid CFF (K)
8.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
3.93 xG 0.42
69% Ball Possession 31%
35 Total Shots 4
16 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 2
638 Passes 242
90% Pass Accuracy 72%
61 Box Touches 8
30 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
05.10.2024 Madrid CFF (K) 1-8 HT 1-0 Barcelona (K) Barcelona (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
01.05.2024 Barcelona (K) Barcelona (K) 8-0 HT 5-0 Madrid CFF (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barcelona (K)
5-1
AWAY Madrid CFF (K)
2.65 xG 0.82
74% Ball Possession 26%
29 Total Shots 4
14 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 1
649 Passes 154
90% Pass Accuracy 61%
46 Box Touches 5
16 Crosses 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Barcelona (K) vs Madrid CFF (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona (K) cruised past Madrid CFF (K) 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Barcelona (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Barcelona (K) had 74% of the ball to Madrid CFF (K)'s 26%, shots finished 29-4, expected goals 2.65 to 0.82.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Barcelona (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 8.00 goals for Barcelona (K) and 0.50 for Madrid CFF (K).

What was the final score of Barcelona (K) vs Madrid CFF (K)?

Barcelona (K) 5-1 Madrid CFF (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barcelona (K) vs Madrid CFF (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barcelona (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Barcelona (K) 33%, draw 33%, Madrid CFF (K) 33%. The final score 5-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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