Santa Cruz 0-3 Universidad Concepcion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Cup, 16 Feb 2025

Santa Cruz
0-3 HT 0-1
Universidad Concepcion
📅16/02/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Chile - Cup – 2026

Santa Cruz vs Universidad Concepcion Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
39%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+1.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
38%
Away Win
38%
+0.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.0pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Santa Cruz v Universidad Concepcion — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Cruz EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Universidad Concepcion EU Bookmakers 42%
-48% / -48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +44% / +44%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-100% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / +31%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
286 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards –

Santa Cruz 0-3 Universidad Concepcion — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Cruz
0-3
AWAY Universidad Concepcion
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 1
0 Passes 1
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Santa Cruz vs Universidad Concepcion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universidad Concepcion swept aside Santa Cruz 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 25% / 38%) promised a tight game; Universidad Concepcion found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Santa Cruz had 53% of the ball to Universidad Concepcion's 47%, shots finished 14-10.

What was the final score of Santa Cruz vs Universidad Concepcion?

Santa Cruz 0-3 Universidad Concepcion in the Chile - Cup on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Cruz vs Universidad Concepcion?

Before kick-off our model rated an Universidad Concepcion win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Santa Cruz 36%, draw 25%, Universidad Concepcion 38%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universidad Concepcion) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Universidad Concepcion) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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