Croatia Zmijavci 1-0 Dugopolje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒14:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.7pp
33%
Draw
28%
+5.0pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.4pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Croatia Zmijavci EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Dugopolje EU Bookmakers 30%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
0.94/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.92
-32% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +39%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
277 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Croatia Zmijavci
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Dugopolje
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 5
16.10.2024 Dugopolje Dugopolje 0-0 Croatia Zmijavci Croatia Zmijavci HIR2
19.05.2024 Croatia Zmijavci Croatia Zmijavci 0-2 HT 0-1 Dugopolje Dugopolje HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Croatia Zmijavci
1-0
AWAY Dugopolje
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Croatia Zmijavci vs Dugopolje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Croatia Zmijavci squeezed past Dugopolje 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 33% / 28% — and on the day Croatia Zmijavci made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Croatia Zmijavci had 58% of the ball to Dugopolje's 42%, shots finished 14-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Dugopolje led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Croatia Zmijavci and 1.00 for Dugopolje.

What was the final score of Croatia Zmijavci vs Dugopolje?

Croatia Zmijavci 1-0 Dugopolje in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Croatia Zmijavci vs Dugopolje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Croatia Zmijavci win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Croatia Zmijavci 39%, draw 33%, Dugopolje 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Croatia Zmijavci), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Croatia Zmijavci) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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