Uruguay U20 1-3 Kolombiya U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sudamericano U20, 16 Feb 2025

Uruguay U20
1-3 HT 1-3
Kolombiya U20
📅16/02/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Sudamericano U20 – 2025

Uruguay U20 vs Kolombiya U20 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
26%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.43
2-3 Goals
35%
1.72
4-5 Goals
17%
4.34
6+ Goals
12%
23.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.43 — our 36% vs market 33.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
38%
+6.4pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.9pp
26%
Away Win
34%
-7.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.5pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Uruguay U20 v Kolombiya U20 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uruguay U20 EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Kolombiya U20 EU Bookmakers 37%
-33% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
0.95/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.80
-96% / +84% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -76% / +36%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
312 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 72%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
21.0 Crosses 30.0
0.0 Yellow Cards 3.0

Uruguay U20 vs Kolombiya U20 Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uruguay U20
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Kolombiya U20
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.80 xG 1.02
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
207 Passes 282
68% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
01.02.2023 Uruguay U20 Uruguay U20 1-0 HT 0-0 Kolombiya U20 Kolombiya U20 SUD20
05.02.2015 Uruguay U20 Uruguay U20 0-0 HT 0-0 Kolombiya U20 Kolombiya U20 SUD20
16.01.2015 Uruguay U20 Uruguay U20 1-0 HT 0-0 Kolombiya U20 Kolombiya U20 SUD20

Uruguay U20 1-3 Kolombiya U20 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uruguay U20
1-3
AWAY Kolombiya U20
1.79 xG 1.07
52% Ball Possession 48%
22 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
255 Passes 203
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Uruguay U20 vs Kolombiya U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kolombiya U20 beat Uruguay U20 3-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Uruguay U20 at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Uruguay U20 had 52% of the ball to Kolombiya U20's 48%, shots finished 22-16, expected goals 1.79 to 1.07 — on chances, Uruguay U20 could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Uruguay U20 had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Uruguay U20 and 0.00 for Kolombiya U20.

What was the final score of Uruguay U20 vs Kolombiya U20?

Uruguay U20 1-3 Kolombiya U20 in the Sudamericano U20 on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uruguay U20 vs Kolombiya U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uruguay U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Uruguay U20 45%, draw 29%, Kolombiya U20 26%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Uruguay U20) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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