EM Mahdia 2-1 AS Ariana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 16 Feb 2025

EM Mahdia
2-1
AS Ariana
📅16/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme – 2025/2026

EM Mahdia vs AS Ariana Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
24%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
29%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
46%
+3.4pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.3pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-1.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.1pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

EM Mahdia v AS Ariana — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME EM Mahdia EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY AS Ariana EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.25/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+11% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
291 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 4.0

EM Mahdia vs AS Ariana Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME EM Mahdia
1W-0D-0L
AWAY AS Ariana
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
1 Total Shots 0
1 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
The Meetings
26.10.2024 AS Ariana 0-1 EM Mahdia TUN2
POST-MATCH EM Mahdia vs AS Ariana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

EM Mahdia nicked a narrow win over AS Ariana 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had EM Mahdia as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of EM Mahdia vs AS Ariana?

EM Mahdia 2-1 AS Ariana in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for EM Mahdia vs AS Ariana?

Before kick-off our model rated a EM Mahdia win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split EM Mahdia 50%, draw 26%, AS Ariana 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (EM Mahdia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (EM Mahdia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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