Melbourne Victory II 2-1 Eltham Redbacks — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AVPL1, 16 Feb 2026

📅16/02/2026 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
28%
4.19
Away
19%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
3%
X/X
18%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
60%
-7.7pp
28%
Draw
20%
+7.9pp
19%
Away Win
20%
-0.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.2pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melbourne Victory II EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Eltham Redbacks EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
395 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Melbourne Victory II vs Eltham Redbacks
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne Victory II nicked a narrow win over Eltham Redbacks 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Melbourne Victory II as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

What was the final score of Melbourne Victory II vs Eltham Redbacks?

Melbourne Victory II 2-1 Eltham Redbacks in the AVPL1 on 16/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melbourne Victory II vs Eltham Redbacks?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melbourne Victory II win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Melbourne Victory II 53%, draw 28%, Eltham Redbacks 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne Victory II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Melbourne Victory II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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