Saipa 1-1 SC Damash Gilanian — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 16 Feb 2026

📅16/02/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
17%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.38
Over 2.5
34%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.67
No
63%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
1.88
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
14%
6.53
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
54%
+4.8pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.1pp
17%
Away Win
18%
-0.7pp
66%
Under 2.5
69%
-3.1pp
34%
Over 2.5
31%
+3.1pp
37%
BTTS Yes
33%
+3.4pp
63%
BTTS No
67%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saipa EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY SC Damash Gilanian EU Bookmakers 21%
+17% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -14%
1.32/0.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/1.52
-6% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -22%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
312 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saipa
3W-2D-0L
AWAY SC Damash Gilanian
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
24.09.2025 SC Damash Gilanian SC Damash Gilanian 0-2 HT 0-1 Saipa Saipa IRANAZ
06.04.2025 Saipa Saipa 2-1 HT 1-1 SC Damash Gilanian SC Damash Gilanian IRANAZ
10.11.2024 SC Damash Gilanian SC Damash Gilanian 0-0 HT 0-0 Saipa Saipa IRANAZ
10.06.2024 SC Damash Gilanian SC Damash Gilanian 2-2 HT 2-1 Saipa Saipa IRANAZ
20.12.2023 Saipa Saipa 1-0 HT 0-0 SC Damash Gilanian SC Damash Gilanian IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Saipa vs SC Damash Gilanian
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saipa and SC Damash Gilanian couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Saipa at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, under 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Saipa had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Saipa and 0.60 for SC Damash Gilanian.

What was the final score of Saipa vs SC Damash Gilanian?

Saipa 1-1 SC Damash Gilanian in the Iran - Azadegan League on 16/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saipa vs SC Damash Gilanian?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saipa win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Saipa 58%, draw 24%, SC Damash Gilanian 17%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Saipa), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Saipa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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